U.S. ethanol exports climbed sharply in August, driven by record sales to Canada and the European Union, federal trade data show. Shipments reached 188.8 million gallons, a 15% increase from July and 24% higher than a year earlier. Canada remained the top buyer at 74.4 million gallons, while another 47.6 million gallons moved through the Netherlands for use across the EU. RFD-TV reports that together, those markets accounted for nearly two-thirds of all U.S. ethanol exports. The U.S. imported no foreign ethanol during the month. 

Other key markets shifted as well. Colombia boosted purchases by 43% to 14.1 million gallons, India rebounded after several slow months, and Mexico increased buying as the United Kingdom, Peru and the Philippines pulled back. Year-to-date exports reached 1.42 billion gallons, 16% ahead of 2024. Exports of distillers dried grains, or DDGs, with solubles also strengthened, rising 10% to 1.17 million metric tons, though cumulative shipments remain slightly below last year. 

U.S. ethanol exports climbed sharply in August, driven by record sales to Canada and the European Union, federal trade data show. Shipments reached 188.8 million gallons, a 15% increase from July and 24% higher than a year earlier. Canada remained the top buyer at 74.4 million gallons, while another 47.6 million gallons moved through the Netherlands for use across the EU. RFD-TV reports that together, those markets accounted for nearly two-thirds of all U.S. ethanol exports. The U.S. imported no foreign ethanol during the month. Other key markets shifted as well. Colombia boosted purchases by 43% to 14.1 million gallons, India rebounded after several slow months, and Mexico increased buying as the United Kingdom, Peru and the Philippines pulled back. Year-to-date exports reached 1.42 billion gallons, 16% ahead of 2024. Exports of distillers dried grains, or DDGs, with solubles also strengthened, rising 10% to 1.17 million metric tons, though cumulative shipments remain slightly below last year. -NAFB

Record ethanol exports are expanding on strong demand

The Senate unanimously passed the Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act, clearing a major hurdle toward restoring whole and 2% milk options in school meal programs. The bill now heads to the House, where similar legislation passed overwhelmingly in 2023, before it can be sent to the president’s desk. The measure would allow schools to serve whole and reduced-fat milk alongside the current offerings of low-fat, fat-free and flavored varieties. 

Supporters say the change reflects updated nutrition research showing milk of all fat levels has neutral or positive health effects. Whole and 2% milk remain the most commonly consumed varieties at home. “Restoring schools’ option to offer whole and reduced-fat milk will mean more schoolkids get the essential nutrients they need,” said Gregg Doud, president and CEO of the National Milk Producers Federation. The bipartisan bill is sponsored by Sens. Roger Marshall, Peter Welch, Dave McCormick and John Fetterman.

The Senate unanimously passed the Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act, clearing a major hurdle toward restoring whole and 2% milk options in school meal programs. The bill now heads to the House, where similar legislation passed overwhelmingly in 2023, before it can be sent to the president’s desk. The measure would allow schools to serve whole and reduced-fat milk alongside the current offerings of low-fat, fat-free and flavored varieties. Supporters say the change reflects updated nutrition research showing milk of all fat levels has neutral or positive health effects. Whole and 2% milk remain the most commonly consumed varieties at home. “Restoring schools’ option to offer whole and reduced-fat milk will mean more schoolkids get the essential nutrients they need,” said Gregg Doud, president and CEO of the National Milk Producers Federation. The bipartisan bill is sponsored by Sens. Roger Marshall, Peter Welch, Dave McCormick and John Fetterman.-NAFB

Senate passes whole milk for healthy kids act

December corn closed down 1 cent and March corn was down 1/4 cent. January soybeans closed up 2 1/2 cents and March soybeans were up 2 1/4 cents. December KC wheat closed up 4 3/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was unchanged, December Minneapolis wheat was down 7 3/4 cents.

December corn closed down 4 3/4 cents and March corn was down 6 1/2 cents. January soybeans closed up 1/2 cents and March soybeans were down 1 3/4 cents. December KC wheat closed down 4 1/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 1/4 cents and December Minneapolis wheat was up 1/4 cents.

Markets took on a more reserved tone Friday ahead of the weekend, with futures trading both sides of even but gaining some semblance of footing following a turn lower across the middle part of the past week. For the most part, it was a retracement-themed week as prices finished on Friday very close to last week's close, with traders for now removing Monday's premium primarily from the soybean market. The support points which propped up prices for Friday will be interesting to monitor when trade resumes on Sunday evening and into next week's holiday-shortened week. Outside markets for Friday were mixed, with equities recovering near October lows. Meanwhile, energy markets headed lower again with January crude oil futures posting the lowest close in a month behind the idea that the proposed peace plan between Russia and Ukraine would ultimately result in a lifting of existing sanctions against the Russian oil industry.

After trading sharply lower as traders at first reacted poorly to the news that broke late Thursday afternoon that President Trump has lifted the tariff on Brazilian beef, as odd as it may sound, the live cattle complex got back to trading higher before closing softly lower into Friday's close. Besides the slightly higher boxed beef prices this morning, it's tough to pinpoint exactly what's giving traders enough support to look beyond Thursday's trade development. Nevertheless, for the sake of cattle producers, higher trade is higher trade, and that's always a win. No new cash cattle trade has developed. Do remember that later this afternoon the monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released. So far this week, Northern dressed deals have been marked at mostly $345, $6 lower than the prior week's weighted average basis Nebraska, while Southern live deals have been done at $222 to $224, $4 to $6 lower than the previous week's weighted averages.

The feeder cattle complex was taking more of a cautious approach to Friday's trade, as some of its deferred contracts traded higher, but the nearby contracts were still lower and the entire complex finished down. The feeder cattle complex remains on edge as everyone in the industry knows that eventually the border is going to reopen, which will ripple a negative effect throughout the futures complex, and the monthly Cattle on Feed report is set to be released.

The lean hog complex traded fully lower into Friday's closing bell, as the market, once again, comes up empty-handed in terms of enough fundamental support. And while yes, pork cutout values may have been higher this morning, traders need to see more than one day's worth of higher trade to keep the contracts trading higher.

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By: NATHAN STUEDLEGRAINS:December corn closed down 1 cent and March corn was down 1/4 cent. January soybeans closed up 2 1/2 cents and March soybeans were up 2 1/4 cents. December KC wheat closed up 4 3/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was unchanged, December Minneapolis wheat was down 7 3/4 cents.For the Week:December corn closed down 4 3/4 cents and March corn was down 6 1/2 cents. January soybeans closed up 1/2 cents and March soybeans were down 1 3/4 cents. December KC wheat closed down 4 1/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 1/4 cents and December Minneapolis wheat was up 1/4 cents.Markets took on a more reserved tone Friday ahead of the weekend, with futures trading both sides of even but gaining some semblance of footing following a turn lower across the middle part of the past week. For the most part, it was a retracement-themed week as prices finished on Friday very close to last week's close, with traders for now removing Monday's premium primarily from the soybean market. The support points which propped up prices for Friday will be interesting to monitor when trade resumes on Sunday evening and into next week's holiday-shortened week. Outside markets for Friday were mixed, with equities recovering near October lows. Meanwhile, energy markets headed lower again with January crude oil futures posting the lowest close in a month behind the idea that the proposed peace plan between Russia and Ukraine would ultimately result in a lifting of existing sanctions against the Russian oil industry.LIVESTOCK:After trading sharply lower as traders at first reacted poorly to the news that broke late Thursday afternoon that President Trump has lifted the tariff on Brazilian beef, as odd as it may sound, the live cattle complex got back to trading higher before closing softly lower into Friday's close. Besides the slightly higher boxed beef prices this morning, it's tough to pinpoint exactly what's giving traders enough support to look beyond Thursday's trade development. Nevertheless, for the sake of cattle producers, higher trade is higher trade, and that's always a win. No new cash cattle trade has developed. Do remember that later this afternoon the monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released. So far this week, Northern dressed deals have been marked at mostly $345, $6 lower than the prior week's weighted average basis Nebraska, while Southern live deals have been done at $222 to $224, $4 to $6 lower than the previous week's weighted averages.The feeder cattle complex was taking more of a cautious approach to Friday's trade, as some of its deferred contracts traded higher, but the nearby contracts were still lower and the entire complex finished down. The feeder cattle complex remains on edge as everyone in the industry knows that eventually the border is going to reopen, which will ripple a negative effect throughout the futures complex, and the monthly Cattle on Feed report is set to be released. The lean hog complex traded fully lower into Friday's closing bell, as the market, once again, comes up empty-handed in terms of enough fundamental support. And while yes, pork cutout values may have been higher this morning, traders need to see more than one day's worth of higher trade to keep the contracts trading higher.<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/21135332/web-closing-markets-2.mp3">Click HERE for audio</a>

Commodity markets daily recap

The New Democrat Coalition, made up of about 115 House Democrats, on Thursday unveiled a sweeping Rural Revitalization Agenda aimed at boosting healthcare access, strengthening the farm economy and expanding broadband in underserved communities. The coalition said the plan is designed to spur long-term economic growth in rural areas. The effort is led by Reps. Kim Schrier of Washington, Jim Costa of California, April McClain Delaney of Maryland and Josh Riley of New York. 

The agenda focuses on stabilizing rural hospitals, improving access to medical services and addressing persistent hunger. It also calls for new investment in small and specialty crop producers, reforms to trade and Farm Bill programs, and measures to ensure farmers can compete in global markets. Another major pillar targets the digital divide by expanding reliable, affordable broadband and modernizing federal connectivity programs. Coalition leaders said they intend to work across the aisle on a bipartisan Farm Bill while pushing for greater parity and support in existing rural programs.

The New Democrat Coalition, made up of about 115 House Democrats, on Thursday unveiled a sweeping Rural Revitalization Agenda aimed at boosting healthcare access, strengthening the farm economy and expanding broadband in underserved communities. The coalition said the plan is designed to spur long-term economic growth in rural areas. The effort is led by Reps. Kim Schrier of Washington, Jim Costa of California, April McClain Delaney of Maryland and Josh Riley of New York. The agenda focuses on stabilizing rural hospitals, improving access to medical services and addressing persistent hunger. It also calls for new investment in small and specialty crop producers, reforms to trade and Farm Bill programs, and measures to ensure farmers can compete in global markets. Another major pillar targets the digital divide by expanding reliable, affordable broadband and modernizing federal connectivity programs. Coalition leaders said they intend to work across the aisle on a bipartisan Farm Bill while pushing for greater parity and support in existing rural programs.-NAFB

‘New Democrat Coalition’ releases rural revitalization agenda

USDA reports that the 2025 U.S. harvest is nearing completion, with 91 % of the country’s corn crop and 95 % of soybeans harvested as of Nov. 16 in the top 18 producing states. Corn harvesting lags the five-year average of 94 % and trails last year’s progress when 98 % was already completed. Soybean harvests are just one point behind the five-year pace of 96 % and three points behind 2024’s 98 % finish. 

Farmers in key states like Iowa report essentially wrapping up operations, with only about 3 % of corn and 1 % of soybeans left to harvest.  Weather disruptions earlier in the season, including rain and frost, help explain the slower pace in some regions. With harvest nearly done, focus is turning to winter wheat planting and preparation for the next crop year.

USDA reports that the 2025 U.S. harvest is nearing completion, with 91 % of the country’s corn crop and 95 % of soybeans harvested as of Nov. 16 in the top 18 producing states. Corn harvesting lags the five-year average of 94 % and trails last year’s progress when 98 % was already completed. Soybean harvests are just one point behind the five-year pace of 96 % and three points behind 2024’s 98 % finish. Farmers in key states like Iowa report essentially wrapping up operations, with only about 3 % of corn and 1 % of soybeans left to harvest. Weather disruptions earlier in the season, including rain and frost, help explain the slower pace in some regions. With harvest nearly done, focus is turning to winter wheat planting and preparation for the next crop year.-NAFB

Harvest wrapping up across U.S.

December corn closed down 3 1/4 cents and March corn was down 3 3/4 cents. January soybeans closed down 13 3/4 cents and March soybeans were down 12 1/2 cents. December KC wheat closed down 9 1/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 9 3/4 cents, December MIAX Minneapolis wheat was down 8 1/2 cents.

The market continued to remove premium from prices on Thursday, despite another strong reported sale to China for soybeans early Thursday morning. It would seem like a classic case of "buying the rumor and selling the fact" in the complex for this week. Now that China has seemingly returned to the U.S. market in a meaningful way, traders likely are seeking to establish a new price range. In other words, from the October lows, how much in cents per bushel is the anticipated business from China worth? Time will tell on that. In outside markets, the general bearish tone for Thursday was well noted, with equities all but giving back a short bounce based on strong earnings from AI darling Nvidia. Fears of an AI bubble are the most pointed to explanation for the stock market weakness. Meanwhile, energy futures are lower again, with diesel prices reversing from multi-month highs perhaps on news that President Trump has reportedly approved a plan for ending the Russian-Ukraine war.

The livestock complex was again trading mixed as the cattle contracts dipped lower upon not seeing enough fundamental support in the market, but the lean hog contracts traded higher. No new cash cattle trade has developed, but bids were on the table in Nebraska.

Without seeing more fundamental support, the live cattle complex was trading lower into midday Thursday as traders were disappointed to note the decline in fed cash cattle prices again this week, and aren't overly thrilled with boxed beef prices being mixed again this morning.

Again today, the lean hog contracts were trading higher as traders seem to believe that the market has trended lower enough for the time being. It is helpful that pork cutout values were a tick higher this morning, but the volume of cash hogs traded over the week has been relatively thin.&nbsp;

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GrainsDecember corn closed down 3 1/4 cents and March corn was down 3 3/4 cents. January soybeans closed down 13 3/4 cents and March soybeans were down 12 1/2 cents. December KC wheat closed down 9 1/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 9 3/4 cents, December MIAX Minneapolis wheat was down 8 1/2 cents.The market continued to remove premium from prices on Thursday, despite another strong reported sale to China for soybeans early Thursday morning. It would seem like a classic case of "buying the rumor and selling the fact" in the complex for this week. Now that China has seemingly returned to the U.S. market in a meaningful way, traders likely are seeking to establish a new price range. In other words, from the October lows, how much in cents per bushel is the anticipated business from China worth? Time will tell on that. In outside markets, the general bearish tone for Thursday was well noted, with equities all but giving back a short bounce based on strong earnings from AI darling Nvidia. Fears of an AI bubble are the most pointed to explanation for the stock market weakness. Meanwhile, energy futures are lower again, with diesel prices reversing from multi-month highs perhaps on news that President Trump has reportedly approved a plan for ending the Russian-Ukraine war.LivestockThe livestock complex was again trading mixed as the cattle contracts dipped lower upon not seeing enough fundamental support in the market, but the lean hog contracts traded higher. No new cash cattle trade has developed, but bids were on the table in Nebraska.Without seeing more fundamental support, the live cattle complex was trading lower into midday Thursday as traders were disappointed to note the decline in fed cash cattle prices again this week, and aren't overly thrilled with boxed beef prices being mixed again this morning.Again today, the lean hog contracts were trading higher as traders seem to believe that the market has trended lower enough for the time being. It is helpful that pork cutout values were a tick higher this morning, but the volume of cash hogs traded over the week has been relatively thin.&nbsp;<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/05/29192003/30001.mp3">Click HERE for Audio</a>

U.S. farm safety net programs are projected to deliver more than $13.5 billion in payments for the 2025 crop year, though farmers will not receive the funds until October 2026. The payments come through the Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs, which were modified under the One Big Beautiful Bill reconciliation package signed into law July 4. 

FarmDoc Daily reports the changes, relative to the 2018 Farm Bill, are expected to increase both the likelihood and potential size of ARC and PLC payments in 2025 and future years. Farmers who enrolled in 2025 will receive whichever payment — ARC or PLC — is higher, while enrollment choices will again influence payments starting in 2026. Estimates rely on USDA projections from the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report and data from the Farm Service Agency. Payment rates are calculated using county-level base acres, non-irrigated yields where relevant, and program simulation models, providing detailed projections ahead of next year’s disbursements.

U.S. farm safety net programs are projected to deliver more than $13.5 billion in payments for the 2025 crop year, though farmers will not receive the funds until October 2026. The payments come through the Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programs, which were modified under the One Big Beautiful Bill reconciliation package signed into law July 4. FarmDoc Daily reports the changes, relative to the 2018 Farm Bill, are expected to increase both the likelihood and potential size of ARC and PLC payments in 2025 and future years. Farmers who enrolled in 2025 will receive whichever payment — ARC or PLC — is higher, while enrollment choices will again influence payments starting in 2026. Estimates rely on USDA projections from the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report and data from the Farm Service Agency. Payment rates are calculated using county-level base acres, non-irrigated yields where relevant, and program simulation models, providing detailed projections ahead of next year’s disbursements.-NAFB

Safety Net Programs Set to Pay More than $13 Billion in 2026

The White House has held separate meetings with oil refiners and biofuel producers as it works to resolve a long-standing dispute over U.S. biofuel-blending requirements, according to sources familiar with the discussions. Biofuels-news.com reports the talks focus on billions of gallons of blending obligations that were waived for small refineries, raising questions about whether larger refiners should make up any of the exempted volumes. 

A decision, originally expected by the end of October, was delayed by the federal government shutdown. The outreach reflects the administration’s effort to balance competing interests: the oil industry argues that federal mandates threaten refinery jobs, while the agricultural sector says the waivers have reduced demand for corn-based ethanol and other biofuels. 

The outcome could influence fuel prices, farm incomes, and energy policy heading into next year. Officials also discussed year-round sales of gasoline containing 15% ethanol, or E15, potentially linking the measure to small-refinery waiver reforms to win support from both industries.

The White House has held separate meetings with oil refiners and biofuel producers as it works to resolve a long-standing dispute over U.S. biofuel-blending requirements, according to sources familiar with the discussions. Biofuels-news.com reports the talks focus on billions of gallons of blending obligations that were waived for small refineries, raising questions about whether larger refiners should make up any of the exempted volumes. A decision, originally expected by the end of October, was delayed by the federal government shutdown. The outreach reflects the administration’s effort to balance competing interests: the oil industry argues that federal mandates threaten refinery jobs, while the agricultural sector says the waivers have reduced demand for corn-based ethanol and other biofuels. The outcome could influence fuel prices, farm incomes, and energy policy heading into next year. Officials also discussed year-round sales of gasoline containing 15% ethanol, or E15, potentially linking the measure to small-refinery waiver reforms to win support from both industries.-NAFB

White House Moving Toward Biofuels Blending Resolution

As the federal government reopens, farmers say the temporary extension of the 2018 Farm Bill offers little relief from rising costs and growing uncertainty. President Donald Trump’s signature restored funding for the U.S. Department of Agriculture, but the farm law that underpins crop insurance, conservation programs and disaster aid is only renewed short term. 

Kentucky farmer Keith Lowry told the Paducah Sun that production and input costs have doubled since 2018 while commodity prices have stagnated, leaving growers without the safety net they need. He added that trade disruptions — including past tensions with China — continue to narrow export opportunities for soybeans and other crops. 

American Soybean Association President Caleb Ragland said reopening the government is only a first step and urged Congress to advance regulations and trade efforts that support demand. Farmers say the shutdown hindered access to loans and assistance, compounding a difficult year marked by heavy rains, drought and escalating expenses.

As the federal government reopens, farmers say the temporary extension of the 2018 Farm Bill offers little relief from rising costs and growing uncertainty. President Donald Trump’s signature restored funding for the U.S. Department of Agriculture, but the farm law that underpins crop insurance, conservation programs and disaster aid is only renewed short term. Kentucky farmer Keith Lowry told the Paducah Sun that production and input costs have doubled since 2018 while commodity prices have stagnated, leaving growers without the safety net they need. He added that trade disruptions — including past tensions with China — continue to narrow export opportunities for soybeans and other crops. American Soybean Association President Caleb Ragland said reopening the government is only a first step and urged Congress to advance regulations and trade efforts that support demand. Farmers say the shutdown hindered access to loans and assistance, compounding a difficult year marked by heavy rains, drought and escalating expenses.-NAFB

Farmers Worry Renewal of Outdated Farm Bill Doesn’t Adequately Fund Critical Programs

December corn closed down 7 cents and March corn was down 8 cents. January soybeans closed down 17 1/4 cents and March soybeans were down 15 3/4 cents. December KC wheat closed down 10 3/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 9 3/4 cents, December MIAX Minneapolis wheat was down 1 1/2 cents.

The market turned lower across the board Wednesday in a general risk-off session which stretched from commodities to equity markets. In terms of agricultural products, despite no overtly bearish news to point to on Wednesday, there was also little on the bullish side to sustain momentum against firm chart resistance which may have long-term implications, especially for the soybean market. Energy markets were weaker on Wednesday and added a layer of pressure to corn and soybean oil markets, despite the weekly EIA Petroleum Status report showing lower U.S. crude inventories week over week.

The cattle contracts are trading lower into Wednesday's noon hour as the market is disgruntled with the lack of fundamental support. Some light trade has developed in the North, where dressed cattle were trading at $345, which is $6.00 lower than last week's weighted average.

Without a steadfast stamp of approval from the market's fundamentals, the live cattle contracts were back to trading lower. The market would anticipate that beef demand will begin a sharp fourth-quarter rally in the next week or two, as consumers secure their meat for the Christmas holiday. Still, with beef prices already high compared to years past, the market sits in an unknown position, unsure how much of a fourth-quarter rally is really going to play out. The feeder cattle complex was also trading sharply lower as the market continued to closely follow the direction of the live cattle contracts.

Although midday pork cutout values are lower, once again, the lean hog contracts were trading slightly higher into Wednesday's noon hour as the market has seemed to stumble into some technical support.&nbsp;

<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/08/13201542/30001.mp3">Click HERE for Audio</a>

GrainsDecember corn closed down 7 cents and March corn was down 8 cents. January soybeans closed down 17 1/4 cents and March soybeans were down 15 3/4 cents. December KC wheat closed down 10 3/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 9 3/4 cents, December MIAX Minneapolis wheat was down 1 1/2 cents.The market turned lower across the board Wednesday in a general risk-off session which stretched from commodities to equity markets. In terms of agricultural products, despite no overtly bearish news to point to on Wednesday, there was also little on the bullish side to sustain momentum against firm chart resistance which may have long-term implications, especially for the soybean market. Energy markets were weaker on Wednesday and added a layer of pressure to corn and soybean oil markets, despite the weekly EIA Petroleum Status report showing lower U.S. crude inventories week over week.Livestock:The cattle contracts are trading lower into Wednesday's noon hour as the market is disgruntled with the lack of fundamental support. Some light trade has developed in the North, where dressed cattle were trading at $345, which is $6.00 lower than last week's weighted average.Without a steadfast stamp of approval from the market's fundamentals, the live cattle contracts were back to trading lower. The market would anticipate that beef demand will begin a sharp fourth-quarter rally in the next week or two, as consumers secure their meat for the Christmas holiday. Still, with beef prices already high compared to years past, the market sits in an unknown position, unsure how much of a fourth-quarter rally is really going to play out. The feeder cattle complex was also trading sharply lower as the market continued to closely follow the direction of the live cattle contracts. Although midday pork cutout values are lower, once again, the lean hog contracts were trading slightly higher into Wednesday's noon hour as the market has seemed to stumble into some technical support.&nbsp;<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/08/13201542/30001.mp3">Click HERE for Audio</a>

Omaha Steaks President and CEO Nate Rempe (REM-pee) said, unfortunately, America’s beef bills will likely keep climbing. He told Fox News that the nation’s shrinking cattle supply and continued record demand are driving the possibility of ten-dollar-per-pound ground beef that could stretch family budgets for some time. 

“We need to get our arms around this in the U.S.,” he said. “By the third quarter of next year, American families are going to see ten dollars a pound for ground beef in the grocery store, so we’re in for a bit of a haul here.” He added that prices likely won’t come down in a significant way until 2027. “Heifer retention is a decision that the rancher and feedlot operator make to hold back female animals to help rebuild the herd,” Rempe said. “It’s a double-edged sword, because that means the supply is going to continue shrinking as fewer cattle go to market.”

Omaha Steaks President and CEO Nate Rempe (REM-pee) said, unfortunately, America’s beef bills will likely keep climbing. He told Fox News that the nation’s shrinking cattle supply and continued record demand are driving the possibility of ten-dollar-per-pound ground beef that could stretch family budgets for some time. “We need to get our arms around this in the U.S.,” he said. “By the third quarter of next year, American families are going to see ten dollars a pound for ground beef in the grocery store, so we’re in for a bit of a haul here.” He added that prices likely won’t come down in a significant way until 2027. “Heifer retention is a decision that the rancher and feedlot operator make to hold back female animals to help rebuild the herd,” Rempe said. “It’s a double-edged sword, because that means the supply is going to continue shrinking as fewer cattle go to market.”-NAFB

Beef May Reach Ten Dollars Per Pound

President Donald Trump announced that many fertilizers U.S. farmers rely on will be exempt from reciprocal tariffs. The Fertilizer Institute said it’s extremely good news for the industry. 

“The Fertilizer Institute appreciates the Trump administration’s continued recognition of the importance of fertilizers to America’s food security, national security, well-being, and health,” said TFI President and CEO Corey Rosenbusch. “While the U.S. has robust domestic fertilizer manufacturing and production, it’s a net fertilizer importer and relies on both domestic production and imports during the busy spring planting and fall application periods.” 

He also said the fertilizer market is highly competitive and characterized by a complex web of global supply and demand factors. “Without farmers, there would be no fertilizer industry, and as farmers continue to face economic challenges, the focus of the industry remains promoting a stable industry that supports U.S. agriculture and ensures affordable food prices for American families,” Rosenbusch added.

President Donald Trump announced that many fertilizers U.S. farmers rely on will be exempt from reciprocal tariffs. The Fertilizer Institute said it’s extremely good news for the industry. “The Fertilizer Institute appreciates the Trump administration’s continued recognition of the importance of fertilizers to America’s food security, national security, well-being, and health,” said TFI President and CEO Corey Rosenbusch. “While the U.S. has robust domestic fertilizer manufacturing and production, it’s a net fertilizer importer and relies on both domestic production and imports during the busy spring planting and fall application periods.” He also said the fertilizer market is highly competitive and characterized by a complex web of global supply and demand factors. “Without farmers, there would be no fertilizer industry, and as farmers continue to face economic challenges, the focus of the industry remains promoting a stable industry that supports U.S. agriculture and ensures affordable food prices for American families,” Rosenbusch added.-NAFB

TFI Reacts to Fertilizer Tariff Exemption

Groups like the American Soybean Association applauded the Environmental Protection Agency and the Army Corps of Engineers for proposing a more workable version of the “Waters of the United States” rule for agriculture. 

“For too long, shifting interpretations have created real uncertainty about whether everyday decisions might trigger federal oversight,” said ASA President Caleb Ragland. The National Cattlemen’s Beef Association said WOTUS has been a longstanding and frustrating issue. 

“This WOTUS announcement acknowledges that the government should work to protect lakes, rivers, and oceans, rather than regulating ditches and ponds on family farms and ranches,” said NCBA Chief Counsel Mary-Thomas Hart. 

The National Association of State Departments of Agriculture said the federal government has recognized the states’ expertise in managing and protecting local lands and resources. As NASDA previously stated, states are currently responsible for enforcing more than 96 percent of federal water laws in the Clean Water Act.

Groups like the American Soybean Association applauded the Environmental Protection Agency and the Army Corps of Engineers for proposing a more workable version of the “Waters of the United States” rule for agriculture. “For too long, shifting interpretations have created real uncertainty about whether everyday decisions might trigger federal oversight,” said ASA President Caleb Ragland. The National Cattlemen’s Beef Association said WOTUS has been a longstanding and frustrating issue. “This WOTUS announcement acknowledges that the government should work to protect lakes, rivers, and oceans, rather than regulating ditches and ponds on family farms and ranches,” said NCBA Chief Counsel Mary-Thomas Hart. The National Association of State Departments of Agriculture said the federal government has recognized the states’ expertise in managing and protecting local lands and resources. As NASDA previously stated, states are currently responsible for enforcing more than 96 percent of federal water laws in the Clean Water Act.-NAFB

U.S. Ag Groups React to New EPA WOTUS Proposal

December corn closed up 2 cents and March corn was up 1 1/2 cents. January soybeans closed down 3 3/4 cents and March soybeans were down 3 cents. December KC wheat closed down 2 1/2 cents, December Chicago wheat was up 2 1/4 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was up 9 cents.

It was a return to low volume, slow news trade on Tuesday across row-crop futures with prices chopping on either side of unchanged but falling from early highs, which were the highs for the rally thus far for the soybean market. It is likely traders saw the need to lock in some profits following confirmation of rumored soybean purchases by China on Monday. In outside markets, diesel prices continue to push higher, positively influencing soybean oil futures, which have surged higher through the first half of the week. In financial markets, equities are under heavy pressure to start the week, led by AI bubble fears. Meanwhile, the potential for money flow out of equities and into commodities as a hedge against inflation may be a story of growing importance to watch through the end of 2025 and into 2026.

The live cattle complex traded mixed, erring on the side of caution as traders would like to see the contracts trade fully higher but need sure-fire fundamental support this week to successfully do so. No developments have surfaced in the fed cash cattle market, and trade will likely be delayed until later in the week, as that's usually what happens whenever a Cattle on Feed report is released. No bids or asking prices are currently on the table.

Likewise, the feeder cattle complex also traded in a mixed manner as the market isn't confident that there will be enough support in the market to trade fully higher. Until something wildly bullish develops, the feeder cattle complex will likely continue to trade in a sideways manner as it's going to take some substantial support to push the contracts back over the market's 100-day moving average.

The lean hog complex traded fully lower and currently pressuring the market's support plane as traders aren't seeing enough support arise in the marketplace to send the contracts higher.

<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/18140529/web-closing-markets-2.mp3">Click HERE for audio</a>

By: NATHAN STUEDLEGRAINS:December corn closed up 2 cents and March corn was up 1 1/2 cents. January soybeans closed down 3 3/4 cents and March soybeans were down 3 cents. December KC wheat closed down 2 1/2 cents, December Chicago wheat was up 2 1/4 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was up 9 cents.It was a return to low volume, slow news trade on Tuesday across row-crop futures with prices chopping on either side of unchanged but falling from early highs, which were the highs for the rally thus far for the soybean market. It is likely traders saw the need to lock in some profits following confirmation of rumored soybean purchases by China on Monday. In outside markets, diesel prices continue to push higher, positively influencing soybean oil futures, which have surged higher through the first half of the week. In financial markets, equities are under heavy pressure to start the week, led by AI bubble fears. Meanwhile, the potential for money flow out of equities and into commodities as a hedge against inflation may be a story of growing importance to watch through the end of 2025 and into 2026.LIVESTOCK:The live cattle complex traded mixed, erring on the side of caution as traders would like to see the contracts trade fully higher but need sure-fire fundamental support this week to successfully do so. No developments have surfaced in the fed cash cattle market, and trade will likely be delayed until later in the week, as that's usually what happens whenever a Cattle on Feed report is released. No bids or asking prices are currently on the table.Likewise, the feeder cattle complex also traded in a mixed manner as the market isn't confident that there will be enough support in the market to trade fully higher. Until something wildly bullish develops, the feeder cattle complex will likely continue to trade in a sideways manner as it's going to take some substantial support to push the contracts back over the market's 100-day moving average.The lean hog complex traded fully lower and currently pressuring the market's support plane as traders aren't seeing enough support arise in the marketplace to send the contracts higher. <a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/18140529/web-closing-markets-2.mp3">Click HERE for audio</a>

The USDA’s Farm Service Agency has extended the sign-up deadline for the Emergency Livestock Relief Program to Nov. 21, 2025, after many ranchers were unable to apply during county office closures tied to the federal shutdown. The program provides payments to producers facing added feed costs or grazing losses from 2023–24 floods and wildfires. FSA Administrator Bill Beam said offices are now open five days a week under Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins’ directive to restore full access to core services. 

To simplify enrollment, FSA pre-qualified counties where disasters were already verified, allowing eligible producers to apply without submitting additional documentation. Covered livestock include beef and dairy cattle, sheep, llamas and other grazing animals. Payments are based on supplemental feed costs, offering up to 60% of one month’s feed cost for wildfire losses or three months for flood impacts. Annual payments are capped at $125,000, with limited exceptions up to $250,000.

The USDA’s Farm Service Agency has extended the sign-up deadline for the Emergency Livestock Relief Program to Nov. 21, 2025, after many ranchers were unable to apply during county office closures tied to the federal shutdown. The program provides payments to producers facing added feed costs or grazing losses from 2023–24 floods and wildfires. FSA Administrator Bill Beam said offices are now open five days a week under Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins’ directive to restore full access to core services. To simplify enrollment, FSA pre-qualified counties where disasters were already verified, allowing eligible producers to apply without submitting additional documentation. Covered livestock include beef and dairy cattle, sheep, llamas and other grazing animals. Payments are based on supplemental feed costs, offering up to 60% of one month’s feed cost for wildfire losses or three months for flood impacts. Annual payments are capped at $125,000, with limited exceptions up to $250,000.-NAFB

USDA extends livestock relief deadline 

The Environmental Protection Agency and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers on Monday released a new proposed definition of “waters of the United States,” marking the latest shift in federal water policy after the Supreme Court’s narrowing decision in Sackett v. EPA. The proposal would limit Clean Water Act jurisdiction to traditional navigable waters and wetlands that share a continuous surface connection with them. 

Tributaries would qualify only if they directly connect to those waters or flow through other jurisdictional features. The rule also maintains long-standing exclusions, including prior-converted cropland, waste treatment systems and a newly clarified exemption for groundwater. Federal officials said the updated definition aims to align the rule with the Supreme Court’s guidance while providing clarity to landowners. A 45-day public comment period will begin once the proposal is published in the Federal Register.

The Environmental Protection Agency and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers on Monday released a new proposed definition of “waters of the United States,” marking the latest shift in federal water policy after the Supreme Court’s narrowing decision in Sackett v. EPA. The proposal would limit Clean Water Act jurisdiction to traditional navigable waters and wetlands that share a continuous surface connection with them. Tributaries would qualify only if they directly connect to those waters or flow through other jurisdictional features. The rule also maintains long-standing exclusions, including prior-converted cropland, waste treatment systems and a newly clarified exemption for groundwater. Federal officials said the updated definition aims to align the rule with the Supreme Court’s guidance while providing clarity to landowners. A 45-day public comment period will begin once the proposal is published in the Federal Register.-NAFB

EPA, Army Corps unveil new proposed WOTUS rule

December corn closed up 4 1/2 cents and March corn was up 4 cents. January soybeans closed up 32 3/4 cents and March soybeans were up 27 1/4 cents. December KC wheat closed up 13 1/2 cents, December Chicago wheat was up 17 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was up 9 cents.

It was a remarkable turnaround session across row-crop futures on Monday following a bearish close to last week's trade which saw sharply lower corn, soy, and wheat prices on Friday following data from USDA which I would characterize as mixed overall, although the released listing of all reportable sales (100,000 metric tons or higher) of U.S. grains and oilseeds through the government shutdown was among the more bearish set of figures unveiled during Friday's busy session. President Trump said over the weekend he had held talks with China on Friday and reiterated they will be considerably increasing their purchases of U.S. ag products, most notably soybeans, which went a long way in easing traders' minds and likely sparked algorithmic buying to begin the new week, with reports by late morning that China had indeed bought some U.S. soybeans to start the week. Outside markets were mostly positive as well for Monday, with slightly higher equities, as well as firm energy markets with crude oil futures attempting a third straight session higher.

The live cattle complex traded higher into Monday's close as traders note the announcement that came on Friday that tariffs on food was going to be reduced. The current tariff on Brazilian beef remains at 40%, so it's still unknown how this will affect the greater marketplace as the U.S. still needs lean beef, but a 40% tariff is still a relatively strong barrier. New showlists appear to be mixed, higher in Texas, but lower in Kansas and Nebraska/Colorado.

Throughout last week's trade, Southern live cattle were marked at $226 to mostly $228, which is $3.00 lower than the previous week's weighted average. Northern dressed cattle traded anywhere from $346 to $355, but mostly at $351, which is $8.00 lower than the previous week's weighted average. And to only make matters worse, packers were able to get some cattle committed for delivery for the weeks of Dec. 1 and Dec. 8 as they slowly, but surely are buying up supplies to ensure that they're not short bought in the weeks ahead and potentially run the risk of letting feedlot managers gain the upper hand in the market again. Last week's negotiated cash cattle trade totaled 55,342 head. Of that, 83% (45,792 head) were committed to the market's nearby delivery, while the remaining 17% (9,550 head) were committed to the market's deferred delivery option.

The feeder cattle complex was also trading higher into Monday's closing bell, as the feeder cattle market has been closely following the direction of the live cattle contracts. As long as the live cattle complex remains strong through the day's end, it's likely that the feeder cattle complex will too.

The lean hog complex is trading mixed as the futures market wants to trade higher but needs reassurance from consumers that they're going to show up at the meat counter with more demand before they'll do so confidently. It's likely a slightly higher close for the day is in sight as the greater livestock complex is being met with ample trader support.

<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/17140859/web-closing-markets-2.mp3">Click HERE for audio</a>

By: NATHAN STUEDLEGRAINS:December corn closed up 4 1/2 cents and March corn was up 4 cents. January soybeans closed up 32 3/4 cents and March soybeans were up 27 1/4 cents. December KC wheat closed up 13 1/2 cents, December Chicago wheat was up 17 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was up 9 cents.It was a remarkable turnaround session across row-crop futures on Monday following a bearish close to last week's trade which saw sharply lower corn, soy, and wheat prices on Friday following data from USDA which I would characterize as mixed overall, although the released listing of all reportable sales (100,000 metric tons or higher) of U.S. grains and oilseeds through the government shutdown was among the more bearish set of figures unveiled during Friday's busy session. President Trump said over the weekend he had held talks with China on Friday and reiterated they will be considerably increasing their purchases of U.S. ag products, most notably soybeans, which went a long way in easing traders' minds and likely sparked algorithmic buying to begin the new week, with reports by late morning that China had indeed bought some U.S. soybeans to start the week. Outside markets were mostly positive as well for Monday, with slightly higher equities, as well as firm energy markets with crude oil futures attempting a third straight session higher.LIVESTOCK:The live cattle complex traded higher into Monday's close as traders note the announcement that came on Friday that tariffs on food was going to be reduced. The current tariff on Brazilian beef remains at 40%, so it's still unknown how this will affect the greater marketplace as the U.S. still needs lean beef, but a 40% tariff is still a relatively strong barrier. New showlists appear to be mixed, higher in Texas, but lower in Kansas and Nebraska/Colorado.Throughout last week's trade, Southern live cattle were marked at $226 to mostly $228, which is $3.00 lower than the previous week's weighted average. Northern dressed cattle traded anywhere from $346 to $355, but mostly at $351, which is $8.00 lower than the previous week's weighted average. And to only make matters worse, packers were able to get some cattle committed for delivery for the weeks of Dec. 1 and Dec. 8 as they slowly, but surely are buying up supplies to ensure that they're not short bought in the weeks ahead and potentially run the risk of letting feedlot managers gain the upper hand in the market again. Last week's negotiated cash cattle trade totaled 55,342 head. Of that, 83% (45,792 head) were committed to the market's nearby delivery, while the remaining 17% (9,550 head) were committed to the market's deferred delivery option.The feeder cattle complex was also trading higher into Monday's closing bell, as the feeder cattle market has been closely following the direction of the live cattle contracts. As long as the live cattle complex remains strong through the day's end, it's likely that the feeder cattle complex will too.The lean hog complex is trading mixed as the futures market wants to trade higher but needs reassurance from consumers that they're going to show up at the meat counter with more demand before they'll do so confidently. It's likely a slightly higher close for the day is in sight as the greater livestock complex is being met with ample trader support.<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/17140859/web-closing-markets-2.mp3">Click HERE for audio</a>

President Donald Trump is preparing significant tariff cuts and new trade agreements aimed at easing high food prices, a top concern for voters heading into 2026. The administration on Thursday announced framework deals with Argentina, Guatemala, El Salvador and Ecuador that would reduce tariffs and other barriers on imports of beef, bananas, coffee and other staples. Officials said the effort is designed to lower grocery bills that have remained elevated for years. The push follows a string of Democratic victories in state and local elections last week, where candidates emphasized affordability issues. 

Trump and senior advisers have also signaled broader tariff exemptions are coming. In interviews, Trump said he would “lower some tariffs” on coffee, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said fruit imports could see relief. The New York Times reported the White House is preparing reciprocal tariff changes that may include carve-outs for beef and citrus, expanding on an earlier executive order targeting food items not produced in the United States.

President Donald Trump is preparing significant tariff cuts and new trade agreements aimed at easing high food prices, a top concern for voters heading into 2026. The administration on Thursday announced framework deals with Argentina, Guatemala, El Salvador and Ecuador that would reduce tariffs and other barriers on imports of beef, bananas, coffee and other staples. Officials said the effort is designed to lower grocery bills that have remained elevated for years. The push follows a string of Democratic victories in state and local elections last week, where candidates emphasized affordability issues. Trump and senior advisers have also signaled broader tariff exemptions are coming. In interviews, Trump said he would “lower some tariffs” on coffee, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said fruit imports could see relief. The New York Times reported the White House is preparing reciprocal tariff changes that may include carve-outs for beef and citrus, expanding on an earlier executive order targeting food items not produced in the United States.-NAFB

Administration preparing ag tariff carve-outs

In the first set of government estimates since September, Friday’s much-anticipated World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate, or WASDE, Report offered mixed outlooks for major U.S. crops, trimming projected corn and soybean yields while leaving wheat production unchanged. USDA lowered the national corn yield to 186 bushels per acre, slightly reducing 2025-26 production to 16.75 billion bushels. Exports were raised to 3.08 billion bushels, lifting ending stocks to 2.15 billion. The average farm price rose to $4 a bushel. 

Soybean yield was cut to 53 bushels per acre, pulling production down to 4.25 billion bushels. USDA reduced export estimates to 1.64 billion bushels and projected ending stocks at 290 million. The farmgate price increased to $10.50 per bushel. Wheat production held steady at 1.99 billion bushels, but USDA raised ending stocks to 901 million. The average price slipped to $5 a bushel. Globally, USDA boosted wheat and corn beginning stocks while trimming soybean supplies, and raised production estimates for Argentina, Australia and Russia. 

In the first set of government estimates since September, Friday’s much-anticipated World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimate, or WASDE, Report offered mixed outlooks for major U.S. crops, trimming projected corn and soybean yields while leaving wheat production unchanged. USDA lowered the national corn yield to 186 bushels per acre, slightly reducing 2025-26 production to 16.75 billion bushels. Exports were raised to 3.08 billion bushels, lifting ending stocks to 2.15 billion. The average farm price rose to $4 a bushel. Soybean yield was cut to 53 bushels per acre, pulling production down to 4.25 billion bushels. USDA reduced export estimates to 1.64 billion bushels and projected ending stocks at 290 million. The farmgate price increased to $10.50 per bushel. Wheat production held steady at 1.99 billion bushels, but USDA raised ending stocks to 901 million. The average price slipped to $5 a bushel. Globally, USDA boosted wheat and corn beginning stocks while trimming soybean supplies, and raised production estimates for Argentina, Australia and Russia. -NAFB

Friday’s WASDE lowers corn, soybean yields

December corn closed down 11 1/4 cents and March corn was down 11 1/2 cents. January soybeans closed down 22 1/2 cents and March soybeans were down 20 3/4 cents. December KC wheat closed down 10 1/2 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 8 1/2 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was down 5 cents.

December corn closed up 3 cents and March corn was up 2 cents. January soybeans closed up 7 1/2 cents and March soybeans were up 10 1/4 cents. December KC wheat closed down 4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 1/2 cents and December Minneapolis wheat was up 6 3/4 cents.

Row-crop futures moved sharply lower Friday following the release of new USDA data including Crop Production and WASDE reports, along with a listing of all reportable flash sales which went unreported due to the government shutdown through October and early November. I would characterize Friday's reports as mixed overall, with some undeniably bearish estimates but plenty of silver linings to be found if looked for and discussed in further detail below. Outside markets to close the week were choppy with crude oil turning higher following Ukrainian attacks on Russian ports and the seizure of a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, where over a third of world crude shipments are routed. Stock indices were mixed with tech-focused buying pushing the NASDAQ and S&amp;P500 higher while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped.

The live cattle contracts traded slightly higher into Friday's closing bell, despite the fact that the day's fundamentals are lacking a bit with no new cash cattle trade having developed, and what has developed has been lower than last week's weighted average, and boxed beef prices are lower again. So far this week, Southern live cattle have traded at mostly $228, which is $3.00 lower than last week's weighted average. Northern dressed cattle have traded for mostly $351, which is $8.00 lower than last week's weighted average. And while it's looking like the bulk of this week's trade is done with, some more clean up trade isn't out of the question.

Friday's WASDE report shared less than supportive news for the cattle and beef markets of 2025 and 2026. Beef production for 2025 fell by 70 million pounds from the last report in September, as fed cattle slaughter speeds have declined. The same similar trend is also noted for 2026 beef production as now the year is expected to yield 25,490 million pounds, which is down 100 million pounds from September's report. The biggest expected reason for the decline in slaughter speeds for 2026 is because fed cattle processing is expected to remain light, and with cattle spending more time on feed, marketings will be slower for at least the first half of the year. Quarterly steer prices were also disappointing as steers in the fourth quarter of 2025 are expected to average $234 (down $10.00), steers in the first quarter of 2026 are expected to average $242 (down $5.00) and steers in the second quarter are expected to average $248 (down $3.00). Beef imports for 2025 remained unchanged, but exports for the year fell by 10 million pounds.

Although, the feeder cattle complex was trading fully lower earlier this morning, it rebounded and ended trading higher alongside the live cattle contracts. As long as the live cattle contracts continue to trade higher, the feeder cattle market will likely follow in its shadow.

The lean hog complex also found a little technical support, which could be trader moral given that the cattle contracts were trading higher too, or it could partly be because consumer demand is showing more interest today as the midday pork cutout is up $4.68. It's unlikely that any more cash hog trade is going to develop throughout the day.

<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/14143023/web-closing-markets-2.mp3">Click HERE for audio</a>

By: NATHAN STUEDLEGRAINS:December corn closed down 11 1/4 cents and March corn was down 11 1/2 cents. January soybeans closed down 22 1/2 cents and March soybeans were down 20 3/4 cents. December KC wheat closed down 10 1/2 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 8 1/2 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was down 5 cents.For the Week:December corn closed up 3 cents and March corn was up 2 cents. January soybeans closed up 7 1/2 cents and March soybeans were up 10 1/4 cents. December KC wheat closed down 4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 1/2 cents and December Minneapolis wheat was up 6 3/4 cents.Row-crop futures moved sharply lower Friday following the release of new USDA data including Crop Production and WASDE reports, along with a listing of all reportable flash sales which went unreported due to the government shutdown through October and early November. I would characterize Friday's reports as mixed overall, with some undeniably bearish estimates but plenty of silver linings to be found if looked for and discussed in further detail below. Outside markets to close the week were choppy with crude oil turning higher following Ukrainian attacks on Russian ports and the seizure of a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, where over a third of world crude shipments are routed. Stock indices were mixed with tech-focused buying pushing the NASDAQ and S&amp;P500 higher while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped.LIVESTOCK:The live cattle contracts traded slightly higher into Friday's closing bell, despite the fact that the day's fundamentals are lacking a bit with no new cash cattle trade having developed, and what has developed has been lower than last week's weighted average, and boxed beef prices are lower again. So far this week, Southern live cattle have traded at mostly $228, which is $3.00 lower than last week's weighted average. Northern dressed cattle have traded for mostly $351, which is $8.00 lower than last week's weighted average. And while it's looking like the bulk of this week's trade is done with, some more clean up trade isn't out of the question. Friday's WASDE report shared less than supportive news for the cattle and beef markets of 2025 and 2026. Beef production for 2025 fell by 70 million pounds from the last report in September, as fed cattle slaughter speeds have declined. The same similar trend is also noted for 2026 beef production as now the year is expected to yield 25,490 million pounds, which is down 100 million pounds from September's report. The biggest expected reason for the decline in slaughter speeds for 2026 is because fed cattle processing is expected to remain light, and with cattle spending more time on feed, marketings will be slower for at least the first half of the year. Quarterly steer prices were also disappointing as steers in the fourth quarter of 2025 are expected to average $234 (down $10.00), steers in the first quarter of 2026 are expected to average $242 (down $5.00) and steers in the second quarter are expected to average $248 (down $3.00). Beef imports for 2025 remained unchanged, but exports for the year fell by 10 million pounds.Although, the feeder cattle complex was trading fully lower earlier this morning, it rebounded and ended trading higher alongside the live cattle contracts. As long as the live cattle contracts continue to trade higher, the feeder cattle market will likely follow in its shadow.The lean hog complex also found a little technical support, which could be trader moral given that the cattle contracts were trading higher too, or it could partly be because consumer demand is showing more interest today as the midday pork cutout is up $4.68. It's unlikely that any more cash hog trade is going to develop throughout the day.<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/14143023/web-closing-markets-2.mp3">Click HERE for audio</a>

Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins led the largest USDA agribusiness trade mission in the history of the U.S. to Mexico City last week. During the trip to Mexico, 41 U.S. businesses, 33 cooperators and agriculture advocacy groups, six state departments of agriculture, and 150 participants conducted more than 500 business-to-business meetings over three days. This was a critical opportunity for American businesses to further trade ties, and for the USDA to continue its aggressive response to the New World Screwworm in Mexico. 

“Whether it’s securing the Southern Border from illegal immigration, combating the New World Screwworm, or expanding market access for American agricultural products, we are working every day to put American interests first,” Rollins said. Mexico was the top market for U.S. agricultural exports in 2024, with shipments valued at $30.2 billion. Products like meat and meat products, dairy, processed foods, fruits, and beverages constituted almost 50 percent of that. 

Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins led the largest USDA agribusiness trade mission in the history of the U.S. to Mexico City last week. During the trip to Mexico, 41 U.S. businesses, 33 cooperators and agriculture advocacy groups, six state departments of agriculture, and 150 participants conducted more than 500 business-to-business meetings over three days. This was a critical opportunity for American businesses to further trade ties, and for the USDA to continue its aggressive response to the New World Screwworm in Mexico. “Whether it’s securing the Southern Border from illegal immigration, combating the New World Screwworm, or expanding market access for American agricultural products, we are working every day to put American interests first,” Rollins said. Mexico was the top market for U.S. agricultural exports in 2024, with shipments valued at $30.2 billion. Products like meat and meat products, dairy, processed foods, fruits, and beverages constituted almost 50 percent of that. -NAFB

Rollins leads trade trip to Mexico City

Late Wednesday, the government shutdown ended as President Donald Trump signed into law a measure that brought the standoff to a close. Trump signed a bill that fully funds the USDA and FDA for fiscal year 2026. It also ends a legal battle over partial or full Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program benefits for November. The measure also extended farm bill programs that expired on September 30. While two Republicans voted against the bill, six Democrats stepped across party lines to vote in favor of it. 

Reports say that farmers can expect full services to return to their local Farm Service Agency offices, including processing loan applications for farm ownership or home loans that have been frozen since the start of the government shutdown. The Natural Resources Conservation Service is also expected to reopen for business. A report from Politico said that millions of low-income Americans should receive their full food benefits this week. 

Late Wednesday, the government shutdown ended as President Donald Trump signed into law a measure that brought the standoff to a close. Trump signed a bill that fully funds the USDA and FDA for fiscal year 2026. It also ends a legal battle over partial or full Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program benefits for November. The measure also extended farm bill programs that expired on September 30. While two Republicans voted against the bill, six Democrats stepped across party lines to vote in favor of it. Reports say that farmers can expect full services to return to their local Farm Service Agency offices, including processing loan applications for farm ownership or home loans that have been frozen since the start of the government shutdown. The Natural Resources Conservation Service is also expected to reopen for business. A report from Politico said that millions of low-income Americans should receive their full food benefits this week. -NAFB

Shutdown ends as Farm Bill programs extended

December corn closed up 6 1/4 cents and March corn was up 6 1/4 cents. January soybeans closed up 13 1/4 cents and March soybeans were up 12 3/4 cents. December KC wheat closed up 1/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 1/4 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was unchanged.

Thursday was a day of general strength across row-crop futures with the soybean complex once again leading the way higher, specifically with another burst of bullishness in the soybean meal market as prices set new calendar year highs. With the government shutdown officially ended following President Trump's signing of the funding bill, and operations set to ramp up again, Thursday's strength may be a display of optimism that the release of missing data will support the recent bullish swing in crop prices. Grain and oilseed markets will receive a big piece of the puzzle on Friday morning when USDA releases their November supply and demand estimates after six weeks of relatively few updates from the agency.

With some light trade in the South developing at $282 (which is $3.00 lower than last week's weighted average), combined with seeing boxed beef prices trading lower too -- it comes as no real surprise that the live cattle contracts were trading lower into Thursday's closing bell. And some extremely light sales have been reported in Nebraska at $351, but not enough cattle have traded to say that any sort of a trend has been established this week. Without fundamental support rising to comfort traders, it's likely that a downward trend will remain with the market at least today, and potentially into Friday's session as well.

With the fundamentals in the live cattle complex not helping boost bullish sediment, the feeder cattle contracts were once again left to trade lower. And until the live cattle complex finds some support, it's likely that the feeder cattle market will continue to trade lower in its shadow.

With there not being much interest in the cash market and pork cutout values are lower too, the lean hog complex also traded lower into Thursday's closing bell. And until there's an improvement in the market's fundamentals, mainly from consumers in the form of stronger pork cutout values, it's unlikely that the market will find much upward potential.

<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/13140255">Click HERE for audio</a>

By: NATHAN STUEDLEGRAINS:December corn closed up 6 1/4 cents and March corn was up 6 1/4 cents. January soybeans closed up 13 1/4 cents and March soybeans were up 12 3/4 cents. December KC wheat closed up 1/4 cents, December Chicago wheat was down 1/4 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was unchanged.Thursday was a day of general strength across row-crop futures with the soybean complex once again leading the way higher, specifically with another burst of bullishness in the soybean meal market as prices set new calendar year highs. With the government shutdown officially ended following President Trump's signing of the funding bill, and operations set to ramp up again, Thursday's strength may be a display of optimism that the release of missing data will support the recent bullish swing in crop prices. Grain and oilseed markets will receive a big piece of the puzzle on Friday morning when USDA releases their November supply and demand estimates after six weeks of relatively few updates from the agency.LIVESTOCK:With some light trade in the South developing at $282 (which is $3.00 lower than last week's weighted average), combined with seeing boxed beef prices trading lower too -- it comes as no real surprise that the live cattle contracts were trading lower into Thursday's closing bell. And some extremely light sales have been reported in Nebraska at $351, but not enough cattle have traded to say that any sort of a trend has been established this week. Without fundamental support rising to comfort traders, it's likely that a downward trend will remain with the market at least today, and potentially into Friday's session as well.With the fundamentals in the live cattle complex not helping boost bullish sediment, the feeder cattle contracts were once again left to trade lower. And until the live cattle complex finds some support, it's likely that the feeder cattle market will continue to trade lower in its shadow.With there not being much interest in the cash market and pork cutout values are lower too, the lean hog complex also traded lower into Thursday's closing bell. And until there's an improvement in the market's fundamentals, mainly from consumers in the form of stronger pork cutout values, it's unlikely that the market will find much upward potential.<a href="https://dehayf5mhw1h7.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/356/2025/11/13140255">Click HERE for audio</a>

Farmers and their families can learn to recognize stress, manage their well-being, and access resources by attending an upcoming Penn State Extension webinar promoting resilience and mental health in agriculture. “Mending the Stress Fence” will take place from 7–8 pm Eastern time on December 8 and from 9-10 am on December 16. The webinar specifically addresses the unique challenges of farm life by focusing on stress management, balanced well-being, and reducing the stigma around seeking mental health support. 

Organizers pointed out that agriculture is among the most stressful and hazardous industries in the country. Workshop participants will learn the signs and symptoms of stress, how to self-identify stress, how to balance the dimensions of wellness, how to ask open-ended questions that demonstrate care, the warning signs of suicide, and where to find resources to support someone in need. The event is offered at no cost to participants, but pre-registration is required.

Farmers and their families can learn to recognize stress, manage their well-being, and access resources by attending an upcoming Penn State Extension webinar promoting resilience and mental health in agriculture. “Mending the Stress Fence” will take place from 7–8 pm Eastern time on December 8 and from 9-10 am on December 16. The webinar specifically addresses the unique challenges of farm life by focusing on stress management, balanced well-being, and reducing the stigma around seeking mental health support. Organizers pointed out that agriculture is among the most stressful and hazardous industries in the country. Workshop participants will learn the signs and symptoms of stress, how to self-identify stress, how to balance the dimensions of wellness, how to ask open-ended questions that demonstrate care, the warning signs of suicide, and where to find resources to support someone in need. The event is offered at no cost to participants, but pre-registration is required.-NAFB

Mending the “Stress Fence” in farm country

Chinese purchases of soybeans from the U.S. appear to have stalled only two weeks after the U.S. touted a wide-ranging trade truce between the two countries. Bloomberg said it appeared to show a thawing in relations between the world’s biggest economies. Chinese imports of American cargoes seem to have faltered after a flurry of orders in October. That’s according to traders who asked not to be identified while discussing confidential information with sources. 

“The traders said they were not aware of any new shipments,” and, “The pause is causing significant uncertainty over whether the biggest consumer of American soybeans will be back in the market at a level the White House claimed to expect.” An agricultural broker with StoneX in Singapore said many experts view China’s commitment to purchase 12 million tons of U.S. soybeans this year to be more of a diplomatic gesture than a firm agreement. 

Chinese purchases of soybeans from the U.S. appear to have stalled only two weeks after the U.S. touted a wide-ranging trade truce between the two countries. Bloomberg said it appeared to show a thawing in relations between the world’s biggest economies. Chinese imports of American cargoes seem to have faltered after a flurry of orders in October. That’s according to traders who asked not to be identified while discussing confidential information with sources. “The traders said they were not aware of any new shipments,” and, “The pause is causing significant uncertainty over whether the biggest consumer of American soybeans will be back in the market at a level the White House claimed to expect.” An agricultural broker with StoneX in Singapore said many experts view China’s commitment to purchase 12 million tons of U.S. soybeans this year to be more of a diplomatic gesture than a firm agreement. -NAFB