By: NATHAN STUEDLE
GRAINS:
December corn closed up 4 1/2 cents and March corn was up 4 cents. January soybeans closed up 32 3/4 cents and March soybeans were up 27 1/4 cents. December KC wheat closed up 13 1/2 cents, December Chicago wheat was up 17 cents, December Minneapolis wheat was up 9 cents.
It was a remarkable turnaround session across row-crop futures on Monday following a bearish close to last week's trade which saw sharply lower corn, soy, and wheat prices on Friday following data from USDA which I would characterize as mixed overall, although the released listing of all reportable sales (100,000 metric tons or higher) of U.S. grains and oilseeds through the government shutdown was among the more bearish set of figures unveiled during Friday's busy session. President Trump said over the weekend he had held talks with China on Friday and reiterated they will be considerably increasing their purchases of U.S. ag products, most notably soybeans, which went a long way in easing traders' minds and likely sparked algorithmic buying to begin the new week, with reports by late morning that China had indeed bought some U.S. soybeans to start the week. Outside markets were mostly positive as well for Monday, with slightly higher equities, as well as firm energy markets with crude oil futures attempting a third straight session higher.
LIVESTOCK:
The live cattle complex traded higher into Monday's close as traders note the announcement that came on Friday that tariffs on food was going to be reduced. The current tariff on Brazilian beef remains at 40%, so it's still unknown how this will affect the greater marketplace as the U.S. still needs lean beef, but a 40% tariff is still a relatively strong barrier. New showlists appear to be mixed, higher in Texas, but lower in Kansas and Nebraska/Colorado.
Throughout last week's trade, Southern live cattle were marked at $226 to mostly $228, which is $3.00 lower than the previous week's weighted average. Northern dressed cattle traded anywhere from $346 to $355, but mostly at $351, which is $8.00 lower than the previous week's weighted average. And to only make matters worse, packers were able to get some cattle committed for delivery for the weeks of Dec. 1 and Dec. 8 as they slowly, but surely are buying up supplies to ensure that they're not short bought in the weeks ahead and potentially run the risk of letting feedlot managers gain the upper hand in the market again. Last week's negotiated cash cattle trade totaled 55,342 head. Of that, 83% (45,792 head) were committed to the market's nearby delivery, while the remaining 17% (9,550 head) were committed to the market's deferred delivery option.
The feeder cattle complex was also trading higher into Monday's closing bell, as the feeder cattle market has been closely following the direction of the live cattle contracts. As long as the live cattle complex remains strong through the day's end, it's likely that the feeder cattle complex will too.
The lean hog complex is trading mixed as the futures market wants to trade higher but needs reassurance from consumers that they're going to show up at the meat counter with more demand before they'll do so confidently. It's likely a slightly higher close for the day is in sight as the greater livestock complex is being met with ample trader support.